Thursday 7.8.21: T.S. Elsa Evening Update

Good evening everyone, and welcome to readers coming from the UML Weather Center! The Weather Center site (which I often post to as a UML meteorology student) is down, so I’m sharing this post to the UML social media pages.

We are about to see some impact from Tropical Storm Elsa as it makes its way up the East Coast. Ahead of the storm, some showers (with embedded thunder also possible) are likely in the area this evening. On-and-off showers and thunderstorms are likely, before the main batch of rain moves into the area around sunrise tomorrow. Steady and heavy rain is likely after 5 am tomorrow, continuing for much of the day before ending by the early evening. Embedded thunderstorms are also possible.

Expect 2-4″ of rain over the next 24 hours or so. This may lead to flash flooding issues, especially in poor-drainage areas. The risk for flooding is exacerbated by the amount of rain we have had in the last week or so. Remember to never drive your vehicle into areas where water covers the road – turn around, don’t drown! Remember to move any sensitive belongings from your basements or ground floor, as the risk of flooded basements is prominent.

Rain is the primary hazard with Elsa, with wind being a potential secondary hazard. Significant wind is not expected, but with wind gusts likely peaking at 30-35 mph, some minor damage and isolated power outages are possible. Isolated tornadoes are possible in eastern and southern New England tomorrow morning and early afternoon, so keep a close eye on the weather and have a way to get warnings.

Any impacts should be ending by the evening tomorrow, as Elsa pulls away from the region.

I will have an update later tonight if necessary.

Published by Nathan Coram

Hello! I'm Nathan Coram, a 20 year old meteorology student and weather geek, and am in my junior year at UMass Lowell as a meteorology major. I am the current Vice President of the UML American Meteorological Society Local Student Chapter. Prior to at UML, I attended the Dracut school system for my K-12 years, having graduated from Dracut High in 2018. I first got into weather with the December 2008 ice storm, which knocked out my electricity for 4 days. I had no idea how it could be raining and becoming ice immediately, and how rain can knock out power. (Now I do - warm layer aloft, cold air at surface). But I didn't really get into it until the heat of July 2010 and specifically a few severe weather events during that month, followed by the year 2011, which featured several high profile weather events. Since then I have had a growing interest, and am hoping to make it into the meteorology field, preferably with NOAA/NWS. But for now, I'm blogging here on Dracut Weather (also on Twitter and Facebook), helping with the UML Weather Center social media, and tweeting about the weather on my own account as well. Thanks for visiting!

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