Friday 6.18.21

Good morning!

With mostly sunny skies, expect a high around 84 today, with a southwest wind around 5 mph. Tonight will have increasing clouds, with a low around 64, a southwest wind around 5 mph, and a chance of showers during the late overnight hours.

Tomorrow will have partly sunny skies, with a high around 86. There is a chance of showers in the morning, and a chance of thunderstorms in the evening; the midday hours and much of the afternoon will likely be dry. In the evening, some storms may be strong to severe with strong wind gusts, hail, lightning, and heavy rain possible. Expect a southwest wind around 5 mph, with much higher gusts possible in evening thunderstorms. The thunderstorm chance will continue until around midnight, after which decreasing clouds can be expected; expect a low around 63 Saturday night, with a southwest wind around 5 mph.

weather 2021-06-18.001

Sunday will be sunny and 89; Sunday night will be clear and 64. Monday will be 92 and mostly sunny; Monday night will be mostly clear and 70. There is a chance of afternoon thunderstorms Tuesday, along with increasing clouds and a high around 84.

weather 2021-06-18.002

Have a great day!
-Nathan

Friday 6.4.21

Good morning!

With mostly cloudy skies, expect a high around 88 today, with a southwest wind of 5-10 mph. There is a chance of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon; the latest guidance has honed in on a line of showers and storms forming this afternoon. Some showers may form ahead of the line, but guidance is in agreement on the back end of the storms exiting the Dracut area by 6 pm. Outdoor graduations look safe as a result; however, you may want to bring a towel, so your rear end doesn’t get soaked if the seats are wet. We will be near the northern edge of the line, so it’s not impossible that we miss the rain entirely. In any case, it will be a nice night for graduations with decreasing clouds, as well as temperatures falling from the mid 70s to the upper 60s. Congrats to the Class of 2021!

Expect decreasing clouds to continue overnight, with a low around 61, and a southwest wind around 5 mph. Saturday is the first day of an extended stretch of heat, with a high around 88, and a southwest wind of 5-15 mph. Saturday night will be mostly clear and 69, with a west-southwest wind of 5-10 mph.

weather 2021-06-04.001

Sunday will crank up the heat further, with sunny skies and a high around 93. Sunday night will be clear and 71. Expect a high around 95 Monday with sunny skies, and a low of 72 Monday night with mostly clear skies. Tuesday will probably be the last day of the big heat, with a high around 97 as well as mostly sunny skies. Wednesday will likely be in the 80s, and the rest of the week will likely be in the 70s. Wednesday also looks like the next potential chance of any rain after today.

weather 2021-06-04.002

Have a great day!
-Nathan

Tuesday 6.1.21

Good morning!

With partly cloudy skies, expect a high around 77 today, with a west wind around 5 mph. Tonight will be mostly clear and 51, with a calm wind.

Wednesday will be mostly sunny and 82, with a southwest wind around 5 mph. Wednesday night will have increasing clouds, a low around 56, and a southwest wind around 5 mph.

weather 2021-06-01.001Some showers are likely Thursday, especially in the afternoon and evening; expect a high around 73 with mostly cloudy skies. Showers are likely Thursday night, with a low around 61. Friday will be warmer with a high around 80, but expect mostly cloudy skies and a chance of some showers throughout the day. There are numerous outdoor high school graduations in the area set for Friday, so the weather Friday night will be very important. It’s too early to make a call in any direction – but the trends look good with a decreasing shower chance by sunset. If you are worried about that, I will tell you that my own high school graduation three years ago tonight – June 1, 2018 – came down to the wire in terms of rain chances and it ended up being a beautiful night. I’ll keep an eye on things throughout the week, though.

Friday night will have decreasing clouds, with a low around 61. Expect a high around 87 Saturday with mostly sunny skies; though it is possible we reach the 90 degree mark, I don’t have enough confidence in that outcome yet to put it on the 5-day forecast. Sunday and Monday do look extremely likely to be in the 90s though as the heat builds.

weather 2021-06-01.002

On a historical note, today is the 10-year anniversary of the EF-3 Springfield/Monson tornado in western Massachusetts, which was one of the longest track tornadoes in state history, occurring on a very active severe weather day that produced  three other tornadoes in the state in the evening. While the impact of that day was fairly limited here in northeast Massachusetts, the sheer explosiveness of the day’s atmosphere was made obvious to us very early, as a supercell thunderstorm formed around 8:30 am producing large hail in Dracut. For those of you interested in reading more about the June 1, 2011 Springfield/Monson tornado, the National Weather Service has posted a great piece detailing what happened at https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/272ead74dfe348a4a0f10b3b619c9003.

Have a great day!
-Nathan

Thursday 5/27/21 Evening

Good evening!

I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but the forecast for Memorial Day weekend has gone from bad to much, much worse. I thought what I had to write yesterday was garbage. This is next-level garbage.

Expect a morning low of 49 and a daytime high of 64 for Friday, with a generally calm wind during the day, and mostly cloudy skies. There will be an increasing chance of rain in the afternoon as a low pressure system approaches the area. Rain is now expected throughout Friday night and most of Saturday morning, before gradually giving way to a chance of showers Saturday afternoon. Expect a night low of 43 Friday night and a daytime high of just 51 on Saturday, with cloudy skies and a northeast wind of 5-15 mph.

weather 2021-05-27.001

Saturday night and Sunday will be a bit better, but not much: a low of 43 and a high around 53, with mostly cloudy skies throughout, along with a chance of showers developing again Sunday evening and a continued northeast wind. Rain is possible Sunday night, with a low around 46 and mostly cloudy skies.

Some showers may remain Monday morning, but the afternoon may actually be decent for Memorial Day proper, with a high around 68 projected along with mostly cloudy skies. There is a wider range in temperature possibilities for Monday: a third straight day in the 50s is not fully out of the question, but we also could break into the 70s. At this time, upper 60s to near 70 is the most probable scenario for Monday. Conditions finally stabilize by Monday night and Tuesday, with decreasing clouds and a low of 49 Monday night giving way to mostly sunny skies for Tuesday, with a high around 78. It’s almost like this pattern is planned to provide as crappy a long weekend as possible. Guess we’ll all have to roll with the punches. Again, if any of this changes significantly, I’ll update the forecast.

weather 2021-05-27.002

Have a great night!
-Nathan

Wednesday 5/26/21

Good morning!!

With mostly sunny skies, expect a high around 92 today, with a southwest wind of 5-15 mph. While strong to severe thunderstorms are likely to the north and west during the afternoon and evening hours, precipitation is not expected in our area before 8 pm.

Tonight will be mostly cloudy; showers and thunderstorms are likely after 8 pm, with severe storms possible in the first – and primary – line of storms, which will move through between 8 pm and midnight. An additional batch of showers and sub-severe storms is likely before 3 am, by which all precipitation should end. Winds will be southwest at 5-15 mph (with much higher gusts possible in thunderstorms), flipping to the west at 5-10 mph late.

Thursday will be mostly sunny and 80, with a northwest wind at 5-15 mph. Thursday night will be mostly clear and 46, with a north wind of 5-10 mph.

weather 2021-05-26.001

Friday will kick off what is looking to be a crappy Memorial Day weekend. Friday’s high will be around 64, with increasing clouds and a chance of afternoon showers. A system will pass nearby, delivering useful rain to areas south of the Mass Pike, but we will be on the northern cutoff of the system; so we could end up with very little rain Friday afternoon and night, or we could end up with a beneficial rainfall. Regardless, expect lots of clouds and cool conditions for Friday. The Friday night low will be 44, with a continued chance of showers.

Any showers should end by early Saturday morning, giving way to mostly cloudy skies, with a high around 61. Saturday night will be partly cloudy and 45, and Sunday will be partly cloudy and 63. However, it is possible, depending on the extent of clouds, that we may not even reach 60 degrees either weekend day, as an northeasterly wind off the Gulf of Maine dominates the long weekend. Conditions may improve Monday, as it’s possible we get back into the 70s with more sun, but a lot of the newer guidance is instead projecting another crappy day in the upper 50s to low 60s. In any case, it doesn’t look like a great weekend, with the main saving grace being it doesn’t look particularly rainy – just cool and cloudy. And since this is New England, Tuesday looks nice, because that’s the first day after the long weekend. I’ll be sure to update this forecast, as conditions may shift regarding precipitation this weekend.

weather 2021-05-26.002

Have a great day!
-Nathan

Friday Evening 5.21.21

Good evening!

Expect a low around 64 tonight, with mostly cloudy skies. Saturday will be partly sunny, with a high around 90, with a slight chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. Saturday night will have decreasing clouds, with a low around 63. Sunday will be mostly sunny and 91, with a slight chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm again. Expect winds generally westerly around 5 mph throughout the period (ranging from more southwesterly tomorrow to more of a west-northwest direction by Sunday).

Have a good night!
-Nathan

Sunday 3.28.21

Good afternoon!

With rain this afternoon and evening, expect a daytime high around 47, with a southeast wind of 5-10 mph, along with gusts up to 30 mph. A few scattered rumbles of thunder are also possible as temperatures rise into the mid-50s after sunset, before temperatures start to fall around midnight as the last of the rain ends. Total rainfall of around an inch is possible. The low will be around 37, with decreasing clouds once the rain ends, and a southeast wind of 10-15 mph, gusting up to 30 mph, and turning to the west at 10-20 mph around midnight, with gusts up to 40 mph possible.

The real bulk of the wind will be tomorrow, though – expect a high around 52, with mostly sunny skies, and a west-northwest wind of 15-25 mph, with gusts up to 50 mph possible. The wind gradually begins to calm down by Monday night. Tuesday will be a nice day, with highs in the low 60s with lots of sunshine.

Have a great day!
-Nathan